In this article, Dr. Cleaves discusses the importance for resource managers to take into account the effects of climate change in discharging their responsibilitites.

Managing Risk: Key to Climate Change Adaptation for Resource Managers (Part One)

by Dr. David Cleaves, Climate Advisor to the Chief, U.S. Forest Service

We face multiple risks every day as resource managers. We are pretty good at intuitively understanding the likelihoods of different hazards, the uncertainties around them, and their potential impacts on the resources we value, and we use this understanding in our resource management decisions. But the risks we manage are rapidly changing with the climate. Sustainability can no longer presume stationarity. To sustain the benefits of our forests and grasslands, our risk management approach itself must adapt to changing means and extremes. We may have to become even better at the techniques and principles of risk management. Our experience and intuition will only take us so far in a rapidly changing world.

Risk can be defined as exposure to a chance of loss. Losses can be ecological, social, or economic, expressed in absolute terms or in a sense of failure to reach a goal or a desired condition. The link between exposure and loss is vulnerability, shaped by the likelihood and magnitude of hazards (stressors) and by the sensitivity of resources to stressors and its capacity to cope with and recover from stress. Understanding exposures, vulnerabilities, and losses and taking actions to reduce losses within the limits of financial and organizational capacities is the discipline of risk management. Risk management can allow us to capture opportunities as well as reduce or avoid losses. A stressor event – fire, epidemic, flood, landslide – can create opportunities for transition to more resilient conditions, for retreat from high exposure zones, or for learning to avoid similar losses in other places.

Simply said, but not so simply done. Climate change has brought new wrinkles to risk management. Climate does not act alone. It is a mega-stressor that drives other stressors such as fire, pests, and floods, and interacts with many non-climatic stressors such as land use conversion, invasives introduction and spread, energy development, human recreation, and others. It also couples stressors into more complex and formidable forces on the landscape, creates more complicated pathways for exposure, and stretches the extreme conditions beyond our imagination. If we cannot bring these new realities into our management decisions, we will not fare well on our adaptive journey through a changing climate. As climate interacts with topography, other stressors, and demographic and socio-economic changes, we need to regularly reassess the risk profiles and perhaps readjust our strategies.

This is part one of a two-part series from the U.S. Forest Service. Check back tomorrow for part two!

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42 Responses to “Resource Management and Global Climate Change”

  1. cherahnken says:

    Weather is crazy. Mid Oct and having to put sun block on. Tell me it’s not global warming & the prats wouldn’t let fit wind turbines!

  2. breceracht cory says:

    Oh my god that is one of the most amazing things I’ve ever seen. I had such a hard time containing my laughter because it is pretty late and I don’t want anyone to wake up. Thank you for this video it was really great.

  3. A PolitiJim 2-fer! Who is the DENIER now? ~ DHS:
    Global Warming Causes OWS Riots! | (Great Weekend
    Fun & Fac… (cont) –

  4. Quelle fabuleuse musique et quel fabuleux film. Jme souviens vu sur France 2 quand gosse, je roulais par terre. Nostalgie.
    Louis de Funes etait un dieu de la comedie, il avait la tronche, la voix et le language de de la comedie. Definitivement inbattable.

  5. opew bhagunjonn says:

    Hmm – I thought the evil was being done by those who once tried to convince us that smoking was not dangerous and are now carrying out the same death wish with carbon pollution

  6. High-level international role-players have arrived for climate talks (COP17) in Durban, South Africa, and are debating the key issues as they try to hammer out an accord. But what is the impact of climate change on ordinary people from Africa? AllAfrica’s Julie Frederikse and Thembelani Moyo spoke to Africans attending COP17 in an to understand their personal experiences of global warming and changing weather patter

  7. Rolling stones; fast weathering of olivine in shallow seas for cost …: Schuiling R. D., & de Boer P. L., 2011….

  8. Yeah, but I still don’t want you guys to go extinct. This planet is more fun with humans on it.

  9. Durban climate talks end, new global climate change regime from 2020: Parasram Gurjar, believed to be the oldest man in the country, …

  10. I will not thumbs up your comment because it shows the number of Nobunaga. The one and only number 69.

  11. Purple Mountains Purple MountainsA new wallpaper has been posted to the Nature gallery on Desktop Nexus.Uploaded By: TrikeRiderCategory: MountainsDate Uploaded:… –

  12. crump stahunai says:

    posted by: ? Eric Snyder? remarks: Freecycling is stuck in a 1995-6 email / Yahoo!groups / computer mode. If it hopes to engage the next generation, things need to progress. Social media, mobile technology must become of the every day infrastructure. Amplify’d from Why Freecycling must embrace social media / mobile devices The graphic demonstrates to me pretty clearly why we need to migrate freecycling to and embrace platforms and devices other than Yahoo!groups / email and computers if we have any hope of engaging younger people, the next generations. The freecycling movement is stuck in an old 1995-6 metaphor, and needs to striding to the world of 2012. We have some catch up to do. The stuck, striding images (above) have been pulled from . Climate Counts is a collaborative to bring consumers and companies together in the fight against global climate change. Climate Counts scores the world’s largest companies on their…

  13. cho mastrens says:

    As in global climate change, evolution and Keynes, it is only necessary for GOP to create alternative reality when needed.

  14. David Hockney: a life in – To get something fresh you have to go back to nature. When they say the… –

  15. odawnya eberreche says:

    You neglect all of sir contributions and good deeds because of that. all human beings. We all have some bad qualities and prejudicies and we always make mistakes. Even the great Gauss made mistakes when he declared methods to be now his criticiism notwhithstanding, those method are so widely used for solving many kinds of problems! This subtract anything from his legacy.

  16. sock marippy says:

    Okay, I finally watched the whole video and I have to say I am extremely impressed. Your organizational skills are excellent. I am definitely going to check that storage video out.

  17. Plant Man: Ah, Mega Man. Mr. X told me about you… How do you like my garden?
    Mega Man: Your “Garden” is dangerous, Plant Man! Please stop this madness, and let me pass!
    Plant Man: My dear boy, the only thing dangerous in this garden is you!

  18. The mating habits of marine may help to protect them against the effects of climate change, according to new research led by the University of Exeter. Published today in the journal Proceedings of the Royal Society B, the study shows how the mating patterns of a population of endangered green may be helping them deal with the fact that global warming is leading to a number of females being born.

  19. tailakison aliak says:

    Okay, so Pocahontas was a bald CHILD. She held John head in her arms so they hit it or cut it off. He made up that he loved her or something. She long flowing gorgeous black hair, she would have looked quite different in that dress, and all things considered she probably have a perfect body. get me wrong. I LOVE what they did here.♥ A lot. Love the song and the video. Just clearin things up.xD And I agree with listen to the words!

  20. 2010 has now become the hottest year on record.

    Quoting Beck against Gore is amazingly idiotic.

    There just no matter what the crazy RWers try to feed us.
    The is warming at an alarming rate and that rate keeps accelerating.
    Do nothing and in big, big trouble.

    This video is actually a danger to our planet.
    Complete utter dangerous nonsense.
    Al Gore is going to profit from fake global warming?

  21. terpacoper swith says:

    By Kropp. The Climate and Clean Air Coalition, a of the UN Environment Program and six countries, seeks to encourage reductions in methane, black carbon, and ozone that could reduce global warming and avoid millions of premature deaths.

  22. leslavi mataka says:

    Climate change is real, and here: Scientists meeting in the area said global warming has an increasing effect on… –

  23. mar misasson says:

    This should concern us as much as Global Climate Change did – wait it didn’t, did it? > Ocean Acidification Underway

  24. benni frey says:

    Global Warming: “When Jesus returns, He’ll restore the planet and reign over it for 1000 years. So why the panic?”

  25. Sad, but nature’s way. And they were so fluffy and sweet – one was bright yellow, proper rubber duck colour. 🙁

  26. It’s also okay for you to be yourself and don’t care about being judged. It’s human nature to judge, so expect it.

  27. I’m wondering if 9/11 is also staged We can now admit it: global climate change is one big hoax. …

  28. van schman says:

    Borca Exline: pic
    Because I love men. I love everything about them. Their body’s, their voice, their interests. Im 34 I thought I would be more of an adult ot this age but I suppose I hung on the my youthful spirit. Im looking for a guy who is honest, who has travelled outside of the US, who loves taking care of his little woman, and whos down to I suppose its basically the same as what everyone else wants. A chance at love. I am so uncommitted to my past and desire the same in a man. The last man I was interested in was having an affair. Not into that. I want a free man with a calm spirit. My interests are mostly nature and are related. I don’t go out drinking anymore but I am 420 friendly. I wonder if you would just want to hang out relax and see what happens. Please send picture of yourself. Thanks
    Join to connect with friends, share photos and create your own profile.


  30. NATURE SOUNDS CD , CRICKETS AT DUSK , NO MUSIC , NEW – $8.45End Date: Friday Sep-21-2012 4:02:59 PDTBuy It Now for o…

  31. kner bakalne says:

    Have any special kids in your life? Share the “Student’s Guide to Global Climate Change” so they can save the htt …

  32. hymandrama says:

    The Gold Coast region is home to over 100, 000 hectares of nature reserves and National Parks, all networked with thousands of miles of walking, cycling and riding trails just waiting to be explored.

  33. Ystday I went 2 d 2 main beach,it was splendid, am a lover of nature. 2day went rnd town n 2 Ozone cinema gud,bt I luv Abj.

  34. No matter how righteous a human being may be,he or she is capable of error.Humans will always let each other down due to their erring nature –

  35. rico waderhoult says:

    1. Angin Topan Akan Lebih Dahsyat [] – Belum bisa dijelaskan apakah global warming jawab atas terjadinya badai Katrina. Akan tetapi, ada indikasi-indikasi yang mengaitkan bahwa global warming akan menciptakan badai-badai berkategori 5 – badai Katrina sendiri berkategori 4 saat menghantam Lousiana. Kekuatan badai dimulai dari adanya air hangat dan model-model ramalan

  36. warzeckl magnusenyi says:

    Upcoming 8/4 at 3:30-4:30 pm ET. Topic “Global Climate Change and Pls join in what is always lively and thought-provoking –

  37. staner caster says:

    doriliv esperam Regular exercise? Few boomers get it – MarketWatch (blog) – 18 minutes ago from aePiot – Comment – Like Regular exercise? Few boomers get it MarketWatch (blog) Baby boomers hike the Appalachian Trail. They bike 25 miles to the office, each way, uphill. They run marathons (until they get bored and running ultra-marathons). And even those who don’t pursue such feats of fitness tend to assume, with a mixture of … Baby boomers are less healthy than their parents (Video) Baby boomers’ health worse than their parents new studyeMaxHealth Forget global warming: We’re getting too lazy to reproduceLos Angeles Times -New York Daily News -Science World all 58 news » Continue reading → Similar Notes: aePiot Notes – Baby Boomers Living Longer, Not Healthier – ABC News (blog) National PostBaby Boomers Living Longer, Not HealthierABC News (blog)Baby boomers are living longer lives than their…

  38. Wait there are people complaining that Obama spoke about global warming? Those people need to keep this in mind …

  39. We have a Blizzard watch in effect 4 tonight and tomorrow..the world is ending..Global Climate Change is real..NOT ! …

  40. Finding your identity in peoples perception of you is a long life in a rusty boat across a turbulent sea & social media is global warming.

  41. “I’ve come from a future where global warming has tripled the average testosterone level!” – the best defense to a …

  42. amorth mes says:

    ok, i know global warming is supposed to be bad and all….but i can kinda get used to this!!! for me!!!

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